Post by Ardbeg... innit on May 18, 2009 14:28:02 GMT -6
The hurricane center is watching this one. For you folks in that neck of the woods, this must be the same feeling I get when the first blizzard shows up in early November. Hope this isnt a bad sign for the season ahead...
Link 1
Link 2
Rain coming — with chance of named storm before June 1
Heavy rain is bearing down on south Florida — and there’s even a chance a system moving through the Bahamas will jump the starting gate of hurricane season and become a named storm before June 1.
“The chance is still pretty low but not impossible,” said Richard Pasch, senior hurricane specialist for the National Hurricane Center, describing the possibility of a named storm before the formal start of hurricane season in 14 days. “Our internal thinking is 10 to 20 percent.”
Wind shear is expected to keep the system — currently moving northward toward the central and western Bahamas — from turning into a named subtropical storm, though the weather doesn’t always wait for the traditional kickoff of hurricane season. See Tropical Storm Arthur, May 31, 2008. Or May 2007’s Subtropical Storm Andrea.
Rain is a much surer bet. A cold front moving through central Florida is expected to stall across south Florida Tuesday, intersecting with the system coming from the east, state meteorologist Ben Nelson said.
“South Florida and the Treasure coast should receive widespread 2-4” totals with locally heavier amounts upwards of 5” on Tuesday in addition to downpours that occur this afternoon and tonight ahead of the stalling frontal boundary,” Nelson said. “While much of this rainfall will be beneficial in areas that are experiencing moderate to severe drought conditions, urban and localized flooding will be possible tomorrow in this region.”
Heavy rain is bearing down on south Florida — and there’s even a chance a system moving through the Bahamas will jump the starting gate of hurricane season and become a named storm before June 1.
“The chance is still pretty low but not impossible,” said Richard Pasch, senior hurricane specialist for the National Hurricane Center, describing the possibility of a named storm before the formal start of hurricane season in 14 days. “Our internal thinking is 10 to 20 percent.”
Wind shear is expected to keep the system — currently moving northward toward the central and western Bahamas — from turning into a named subtropical storm, though the weather doesn’t always wait for the traditional kickoff of hurricane season. See Tropical Storm Arthur, May 31, 2008. Or May 2007’s Subtropical Storm Andrea.
Rain is a much surer bet. A cold front moving through central Florida is expected to stall across south Florida Tuesday, intersecting with the system coming from the east, state meteorologist Ben Nelson said.
“South Florida and the Treasure coast should receive widespread 2-4” totals with locally heavier amounts upwards of 5” on Tuesday in addition to downpours that occur this afternoon and tonight ahead of the stalling frontal boundary,” Nelson said. “While much of this rainfall will be beneficial in areas that are experiencing moderate to severe drought conditions, urban and localized flooding will be possible tomorrow in this region.”
Link 1
Link 2