TNMC 2013 Dead Pool Contest - Enter Here!!

[Chicago Jake]

Welcome, boys and ghouls! It's that most wonderful time of the year again: Dead Pool Time! Time to once again leap feet first into an all-new, all-singing, all-dancing, all-exciting 2013 Extravaganza of Expiration!

The rules will once again be the same as they have been:

1. Compile your list of the ten celebs that you think are most likely to croak in the upcoming calendar year.
2. Post them in this thread.
3. Edit it all you like as your hunches ch-ch-change, but not after Midnight on December 31. At that point, the thread gets locked.
4. Whoever gets the most stiffs by the end of the year, wins. What do you win, you ask? Well, nothing, actually. After all, what did you wager? Exactly: nothing!

Tie-breaker rule: Be sure to sequence your list so your most likely stiffs are at the top. In case of a tie in terms of number of stiffs on a list, they will be assigned points based on position. Your #1 position stiff is worth ten points, #2 worth nine points, etc. But this is ONLY used to break ties. More stiffs always beats fewer stiffs.

Hopefully, we can prevail upon Gordon to once again create his excellent Master Compilation thread that we can use to discuss progress (if that word applies - I do not think it means what you think it means) throughout the year.

Good luck to everyone. And remember: If you build it, they will die!!........Jake

[Merlot Joe]

None of mine kick the can last year so I will try again.

Abe Vigoda (he's got to kick off sooner or later)
Bryant Gumbel
Fidel Castro
Lauren Bacall
Nancy Reagan
Jerry Lewis
Mickey Rooney
George H.W. Bush
Kirk Douglas (he just turned 96)
Micheal Douglas

[Ardbeg... innit]

Dec 17, 2012 0:31:59 GMT -6 Chicago Jake said:

Hopefully, we can prevail upon Gordon to once again create his excellent Master Compilation thread that we can use to discuss progress (if that word applies - I do not think it means what you think it means) throughout the year.

What else is there to do on New Year's day besides watching the Twilight Zone marathon. Who knows, this year if I stay out of the scotch deep enough into the whole process, I might just remember to includes everyone on the first try.

[Tex]

I figured I would see how the end of the world played out before I spent money on New Year's tickets.

[Ardbeg... innit]

Decidedly NOT my list for the year.. I have ethical issues with putting the oldest living people into play in this little sport. But I had to look these up, because the oldest, and then the new oldest both wen in the past couple weeks.

From Wiki

Rank Name Sex Birth date Age as of 20 December 2012 Place of residence
1 Jiroemon Kimura M 19 April 1897 115 years, 245 days Japan
2 Koto Okubo F 24 December 1897 114 years, 362 days Japan
3 Misawo Okawa F 5 March 1898 114 years, 290 days Japan
4 Mamie Rearden F 7 September 1898 114 years, 104 days United States
5 Hatsue Ono F 31 October 1898 114 years, 50 days Japan
6 Maria Redaelli-Granoli F 3 April 1899 113 years, 261 days Italy
7 Elsie Thompson F 5 April 1899 113 years, 259 days United States
8 Jeralean Talley F 23 May 1899 113 years, 211 days United States
9 Susannah Mushatt Jones F 6 July 1899 113 years, 167 days United States
10 Bernice Madigan F 24 July 1899 113 years, 149 days United States

What strikes me most is that it looks like we are down to the final few born in the 19th century.

[Merlot Joe]

Talk about here now dead in a nano second!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Tex]

Dec 22, 2012 12:25:12 GMT -6 Ardbeg... innit said:

Decidedly NOT my list for the year.. I have ethical issues with putting the oldest living people into play in this little sport. But I had to look these up, because the oldest, and then the new oldest both wen in the past couple weeks.

From Wiki

Rank Name Sex Birth date Age as of 20 December 2012 Place of residence
1 Jiroemon Kimura M 19 April 1897 115 years, 245 days Japan
2 Koto Okubo F 24 December 1897 114 years, 362 days Japan
3 Misawo Okawa F 5 March 1898 114 years, 290 days Japan
4 Mamie Rearden F 7 September 1898 114 years, 104 days United States
5 Hatsue Ono F 31 October 1898 114 years, 50 days Japan
6 Maria Redaelli-Granoli F 3 April 1899 113 years, 261 days Italy
7 Elsie Thompson F 5 April 1899 113 years, 259 days United States
8 Jeralean Talley F 23 May 1899 113 years, 211 days United States
9 Susannah Mushatt Jones F 6 July 1899 113 years, 167 days United States
10 Bernice Madigan F 24 July 1899 113 years, 149 days United States

What strikes me most is that it looks like we are down to the final few born in the 19th century.

All but one in the US or Japan - interesting.

[♥ COVID-19♥]

And soon it'll be all-Japanese.

[Chicago Jake]

I don't think most of those old fuckers count as famous.

[Ardbeg... innit]

I agree, but when they die they get press attention.

[Tex]

Subject to ch-ch-change but here goes:

1. George H. W. Bush
2. Nelson Mandela
3. Hugo Chavez
4. Margaret Thatcher
5. Hosni Mubarak
6. Thai King Bhumipol Adulyadej
7. Zsa Zsa Gabor
8. Fidel Castro
9. Eli Wallach
10. Abe Vigoda

GORDON: Don't use this list. Use his later one.
Everyone else: You don't need to repost to ch-ch-change your list. Just edit your first post. Spare Gordon the confusion!......Jake

[Tex]

Hoping that a couple of them don't jump the gun on me.

[Ardbeg... innit]

Ive been holding off on that account too. Of course you can always ch-ch-change it before midnight (Central Time I presume). Biggest risk is that someone drops in those late hours of New Year's eve catching everyone off partying (or sleeping)

[Merlot Joe]

Usually they are looking for the first person born, this year it could be for the first person die.

I think we should also have the first person to die in the New Year on the contest and be worth an extra 10 points. I say George H.W. Bush

[Tex]

A couple of them look to be already on the taxiway. Just hope they don't fly the coop early.

[Chicago Jake]

GHWB is definitely campaigning for top spot on the ticket.

[Irish Stu]

So far I'm thinking :

1. George H. W. Bush
2. Nelson Mandela
3. Hosni Mubarak
4. Margaret Thatcher
5. Ronnie Biggs
6. Zsa Zsa Gabor
7. Shane Mcgowan
8. Kirk Douglas
9. Eli Wallach
10. Billy Graham

[Ardbeg... innit]

"put the harps away" -HW condition improves. He is making this difficult for us.

Former President George H.W. Bush is unlikely to leave the Houston hospital where he's being cared for anytime soon but would tell well-wishers to "put the harps back in the closet," a longtime aide said.

Jean Becker said in a statement Thursday evening that the 88-year-old, who has been hospitalized for longer than a month, is receiving excellent care after a "terrible case of bronchitis which then triggered a series of complications."

Bush, the oldest living former president, has been in intensive care since Sunday. He was admitted to Methodist Hospital in Houston on Nov. 23 for treatment of what his spokesman Jim McGrath described as a "stubborn" cough. He had spent about a week there earlier in November for treatment of the same condition.

[Ardbeg... innit]

The Iron Lady has not gone completely to rust yet either

BARONESS Thatcher was last night set to leave hospital after recovering from an operation to remove a tumour from her bladder.

The 87-year-old former Prime Minister had spent Christmas there following surgery last Thursday.

Her spokesman said: “She is going to convalesce privately.”

Tests will now be carried out to discover whether the tumour is aggressive or superficial.

[Ardbeg... innit]

... and Mandela continues to improve

South Africa's presidency says it has no updates on the condition of former leader Nelson Mandela, who is convalescing at home after a hospital stay and is reported to be doing better.

The South African Press Association quotes presidential spokesman Mac Maharaj as saying Saturday that he has no new information on 94-year-old Mandela, who was released from a hospital on Wednesday. The former president, who spent 27 years in prison under apartheid, was admitted Dec. 8 and received treatment for a lung infection.

He also had a procedure to remove gallstones.

[Ardbeg... innit]

The trifecta of death seems to be dispersing.

[Irish Stu]

Bush, Thatcher and Mandela may well scrape their way out of this year but they are still good bets for 2013.

[nolaflacav]

Rosalynn Carter
Professor Irwin Corey
Ruth Bader Ginsberg
Dolores Hope
BB King
C. Everett Koop
Norman Lloyd
Sharon Osbourne
IM Pei
Judge Wapner

[Tex]

One last minute substitution, Van Cliburn replaces the king of Thailand:

1. George H. W. Bush
2. Nelson Mandela
3. Hugo Chavez
4. Margaret Thatcher
5. Hosni Mubarak
6. Van Cliburn
7. Zsa Zsa Gabor
8. Fidel Castro
9. Eli Wallach
10. Abe Vigoda

[Alice]

Here is my list, for better or worse:

Hugo Chavez
Herman Wouk
Fidel Castro
Prince Philip
Olivia De Havilland
Kirk Douglas
Zsa Zsa Gabor
Hosni Mubarak
Helmut Schmidt
Nelson Mandella

[Ron]

Here's my list for 2013:

1) Billy Graham
2) Fidel Castro
3) Kirk Douglas
4) Jerry Lewis
5) Abe Vigoda
6) Zsa Zsa Gabor
7) Hugo Chavez
8) Muhammad Ali
9) Bob Barker
10) Margaret Thatcher

[Chicago Jake]

I think I've got it nailed down.......

1. Van Cliburn
2. San Musial
3. Hugo Chavez
4. George H W Bush
5. Margaret Thatcher
6. Prince Philip
7. Aretha Franklin
8. Zsa Zsa Gabor
9. Glen Campbell
10. Hosni Mubarak

[Tex]

One more tweak:

1. Hugo Chavez
2. Van Cliburn
3. Hosni Mubarak
4. Nelson Mandela
5. George H. W. Bush
6. Margaret Thatcher
7. Zsa Zsa Gabor
8. Fidel Castro
9. Eli Wallach
10. Abe Vigoda

[Diana]

Here's my list for 2013:

1. Fidel Castro
2. Hugo Chavez
3. George H. W. Bush
4. Kirk Douglas
5. Margaret Thatcher
6. Nelson Mandela
7. Queen Elizabeth II
8. Jimmy Carter
9. Courtney Love
10. Hugh Hefner

[Ardbeg... innit]

This has been a tough one. A lot of potential candidates and many perennial listers whose time seems to be about up. Getting the list down to 10 has taken a lot of work. Also been balancing the crowd favorites versus the "wild cards", risk versus rewards calculus in action.

Edited: 11:00pm ET After reading the news reports of the last couple hours, I am dumping John Glenn, and putting Hugo Chavez to the top of the list and moving everyone else down a notch. NOW the bastard better not die in the next couple hours or I will be pissed

1. Hugo Chavez
2. Zsa Zsa Gabor
3. Billy Graham
4. Nancy Reagan
5. HW Bush
6. David Rockefeller
7. Margaret Thatcher
7. John Glenn
8. Robert Dole
9. Prince Philip (Edited: Duke of Edinburgh)
10. Lindsey Lohan (she turns 27 this year.. the next Amy Winehouse)

It was tough not putting Nelson Mandela on the list, along with Hugo Chavez, Ronnie Biggs, Van Cliburn and perennial favorite Fidel. I may kick myself for leaving them off in favor of some others, but hey thats part of the process... innit.

Jake: An idea for next year.. a "wild card" pick, someone who has to be less than 40 years old and worth extra points if they drop.